May. 6th, 2010

iainjclark: Dave McKean Sandman image (Default)
Haz voted.

We're in an ultra-safe seat and I voted against the majority party. D'oh. My wife went on this website that calculates that votes in this constituency are worth the equivalent of 0.059 votes (based on the probability of the seat changing hands and its size.) But I still feel it's worth voting - important, even to vote. If nothing else I'll have kept down the depressingly non-zero proportion of the vote here that goes to the BNP.

We took Anna along so that she could watch us vote. At 9 months I don't think it made a big impression, but by the next general election she'll be nearly 6. How scary is that.

My gut says that despite all the polls showing the conservatives with a narrow lead, they'll actually end up with a straightforward majority, just because a) I'm feeling pessimistic, b) I suspect human nature means that when it comes to the crunch most protest votes against Labour are going to go to the traditional opposition party not a perceived wildcard like the Lib Dems.

Most polls don't seem to take into account things like marginal seats but bafflingly assume we live in a proportional representation utopia. I'd be extremely interested to see what a hung parliament looked like, though. It's tough to see how it could be worse than the status quo, which amounts to the usual suspects being decisively, dynamically, excitingly... self-serving and short-sighted.

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iainjclark: Dave McKean Sandman image (Default)
iainjclark

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